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This is why predictions are probably not a good idea. In the final several weeks, left leaning commentators seemed almost giddy about how Harris was surging and Trump was flailing. It was all just noise based on nothing but people's hopes. The key issue was the economy, and Harris had a difficult mountain to climb to detach herself from Biden, who should have never run again in the first place. We're in for a really, really difficult time now...especially the most vulnerable among us.

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I trust your long-standing expertise in this field, but I’ll be an outlier and think/hope Kamala will win the college with north of 300 points. Dobbs and Harris being embraced by so many trusted career GOP folks, plus echoes of Jan. 6…I would propose that she mat be on track to get more GOP support than any Dem in history, event more than Bill Clinton and Obama. Then we need to hope the GOP refactors itself in a non crazy way for our two party system to persist. I see the story of Trump holding half the country at his will as more of a modern marketing story — a smoke and mirrors scam like the rest of the Trump enterprise. Plus people who were once entertained by Trump are getting tired of him. Seeking out a new entertainer is what we should watch out for.

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actually, Biden got over 300, so we agree

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